Thursday, February 16, 2017

Analysis of HScott Motorsports, Clint Bowyer, Michael Annett, and Justin Allgaier


Two things determine success in NASCAR: money and talent. Recently, money has become the ultimate source for achieving a solid NASCAR career and while talent is required, proficient young drivers find themselves without rides because sponsors aren’t there. Honestly, it is a sad change for NASCAR when considering all the talented drivers like Richard Petty, Dale Earnhardt Sr., and other legends who used talent and determination to become historic drivers. However, talent is still available to fill seats in NASCAR’s top three national series. Erik Jones, who was discovered by Kyle Busch thanks to racing against him at the Snowball Derby, now finds himself in NASCAR’s highest series for 2017 with a reputable Furniture Row Racing ride in addition to a Joe Gibbs Racing connection. Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, and other drivers find themselves in similar situations where their talent superseded the money available. What does all this mean for this research article? With the increasing focus of money on NASCAR’s smallest organizations, teams like Germain Racing are forced to sign drivers with little talent, but money and reputation behind them. This leads to the specific case of HScott Motorsports. 

In the fall of 2013, Harry Scott Jr. purchased Phoenix Racing from James Finch, who had started the team in 1990s and visited victory lane with Brad Keselowski at Talladega in 2009 (“About HSM”). Scott quickly rebranded his team to HScott Motorsports at the start of 2014 and his team has used drivers like Justin Allgaier, Michael Annett, Clint Bowyer, and Bobby Labonte to guide the team through three full seasons in NASCAR’s highest series (“Harry Scott Jr.”). However, things have drastically changed for the team heading in 2017. Firstly, HScott Motorsports will not field a Cup team in 2017 after selling the team’s owned charter to Premium Motorsports and returning the leased #46 charter to Premium Motorsports, which was ultimately sold to Erik Jones’ start-up Furniture Row Racing team. In addition to that, the driver lineup from the team’s tenure in the sport has been completely shaken up. Clint Bowyer, as announced last year, will be running the #14 for retiring Tony Stewart while Michael Annett will fill a full-time seat at JR Motorsports in the NASCAR Xfinity Series with former teammate, Justin Allgaier. Finally, HScott Motorsports’ difficulties don’t just center around not running next year. Bowyer sued the team for unpaid earnings and for no returns on sponsorship brought to the team. The case was settled shortly after it was announced, but it continues to show a black mark for the once promising Cup team. With all that in mind, here is my purpose for this article. I want to provide evidence that HScott Motorsports was successful in the Cup Series throughout its tenure. Most people see Allgaier’s Brandt sponsorship, Annett’s Pilot/Flying J sponsorship, and Bowyer’s 5-Hour Energy sponsorship and assume the team’s little success was centered on money, but it has something to do with talent. However, there were some flaws in the team’s building strategy and we will look at that. Also, I want to analyze Clint Bowyer, Michael Annett, and Justin Allgaier in terms of talent and money to conclude whether they are truly deserving of their 2017 rides and how they performed for HScott Motorsports. While statistics aren’t the ultimate determining factors of success in NASCAR, this data will be checked for biases and the conclusions will decide whether HScott Motorsports positively impacted the sport and if its drivers truly highlight talent over money.

Before hopping into the analysis, I want to explain the detailed tables of statistics. I decided to record starting position, finishing position, average running position, total laps, status at the end of the event, and driver rating for all drivers mentioned in the article. I chose these group of statistics because they are the best indicator of a successful season, team, and driver. I didn’t want to just look at just starting and finishing position because unpredictable things happen in racing that can bias simple statistics. In addition to that, I calculated these values over thirty-one races and determined the total averages of each number to that point in the season. I used thirty-one races because I planned to do this article following the Charlotte race and into the Kansas event, but time slipped away from me. However, thirty-one races are the most appropriate time period for this article because each of the three drivers had trouble towards the end of the year at some point in the years documented. For example, Justin Allgaier missed the Talladega race in 2014 right after Charlotte and Clint Bowyer had a miserable end to his 2015 lame duck season with Michael Waltrip Racing. With that in mind, let’s begin the analysis of HScott Motorsports as an organization.

To start the analysis of HSM, it is important to begin where the organization started: Justin Allgaier’s 2014 rookie season. For a rookie season with a brand-new owner, the season was exceptionally impressive for Scott and Allgaier, who we will address later. In terms of numbers, Allgaier finished the first thirty-one races of the 2014 season without any top 5’s or top 10’s, but he had an average finish of 26.4 and an average running position of 25.4 (“Justin Allgaier”). These numbers couldn’t take the top rookie honors from Kyle Larson, but Allgaier and the team finished third in the rookie battle. For deeper analysis, here is a table with the team’s 2014 statistics through thirty-one races:

Justin Allgaier’s 2014 Rookie Season with HScott Motorsports
Race
Track
Start
Finish
Average Position
Status
Total Laps
Driver Rating
1
Daytona
40
27
21
Crash
193/200
60.8
2
Phoenix
43
30
29
Running
309/312
46.3
3
Las Vegas
37
31
33
Running
264/267
42.1
4
Bristol
30
17
21
Running
502/503
62.7
5
Auto Club
28
28
30
Running
205/206
49.4
6
Martinsville
25
23
25
Running
500/500
57.1
7
Texas
22
24
23
Running
339/340
62.4
8
Darlington
24
23
24
Running
372/374
61.0
9
Richmond
31
21
20
Running
400/400
68.2
10
Talladega
38
27
27
Running
188/188
53.4
11
Kansas
18
36
21
Crash
186/267
64.5
12
Charlotte
17
37
30
Running 378/400
60.5
13
Dover
30
26
29
Running
395/400
46.0
14
Pocono
24
27
21
Running
160/160
65.0
15
Michigan
17
16
14
Running
200/200
79.6
16
Sonoma
35
33
35
Running
109/110
39.6
17
Kentucky
28
24
26
Running
266/267
51.4
18
Daytona
31
25
19
Crash
98/112
72.5
19
New Hampshire
25
37
27
Crash
296/305
49.7
20
Indianapolis
31
27
23
Crash
159/160
58.2
21
Pocono
22
16
18
Running
160/160
76.5
22
Watkins Glen
15
17
25
Running
90/90
60.9
23
Michigan
17
42
38
Crash
97/200
39.4
24
Bristol
19
19
17
Running
497/500
71.9
25
Atlanta
31
26
29
Running
332/335
53.4
26
Richmond
27
28
26
Running
395/400
55.1
27
Chicagoland
26
27
28
Running
264/267
54.0
28
New Hampshire
24
20
24
Running
303/303
61.1
29
Dover
23
29
31
Running
395/400
52.8
30
Kansas
21
41
34
Crash
84/267
51.4
31
Charlotte
16
15
19
Running
334/334
72.2


Average Start: 26.3
Average Finish: 26.4
                                Average Running Position: 25.4
Average Driver Rating: 58.0
Top 5’s: 0
Top 10’s: 0


(Bold and Italicized #’s: Indicate two highest and lowest statistical values throughout the season.)
              

         Now, HScott Motorsports analysis as a team really begins. Since 2014 was the first season for the team, it was hard to have a baseline for success. With 2015, the team now had a second year to show improvement. However, there is another variable in place. Scott expanded the team from one to two cars with Michael Annett, former Tommy Baldwin Racing driver, behind the wheel. While Annett wasn’t a rookie, it was his first season with the team and it would be an adjustment. With that in mind, let’s analyze the numbers. Firstly, Justin Allgaier did lose some of his momentum in his sophomore season. Only his average start increased while his average driver rating dropped by a point, his average running position dropped a tenth, and his average finish dropped by over a point (“Justin Allgaier”). However, he did record a top 10 at Bristol, which is arguably his best Cup track over his two full seasons with HScott. Annett, on the other hand, provided a rather lackluster year for the team. He had an average driver rating of 42.6 with an average finish of 33.1, which are both lower than what he recorded for Tommy Baldwin Racing (“Michael Annett”). Overall, the two teams never seemed to mesh together and HScott Motorsports showed decreased ability to finish races and compete against other middle of the pack Cup teams. While a single reason can’t be given for these 2015 struggles, moving to a two-car operation after a single season with two inexperienced drivers is a strong possibility. The 2016 season would need to be a rebirth year for HScott to grow and work towards being a better contender in NASCAR’s highest series. For deeper analysis, here is a table with the team’s 2015 statistics through thirty-one races:

Justin Allgaier’s 2015 Season and Michael Annett’s 2015 Season with HScott Motorsports
Race
Track
Start
Allgaier   Annett
Finish
Allgaier  Annett
Average Position
Allgaier  Annett
Status
Total Laps
   Allgaier      Annett
Driver Rating
Allgaier  Annett
1
Daytona
18
27
37
13
22
24
Crash
197/203
Running
203/203
61.3
74.4
2
Atlanta
16
32*
20
29*
25
35*
Running
323/325
Running
319/325
63.2
37.0*
3
Las Vegas
26
33
31
39
30
35
Running
263/267
Running
257/267
49.1
43.3
4
Phoenix
28
31
18
42
20
41
Running
312/312
Running
202/312
69.6
33.0
5
Auto Club
31
24
12
38
24
38
Running
209/209
Running
206/209
65.1
33.8
6
Martinsville
21
28
42
39
31
27
Running
328/500
Running
389/500
54.3
46.9
7
Texas
24
28
39
40
29
32
Crash
257/334
Crash
246/334
44.3
39.9
8
Bristol
15
36
8
23
14
24
Running
511/511
Running
507/511
82.3
56.5
9
Richmond
22
38
18
33
17
34
Running
400/400
Running
395/400
72.3
42.4
10
Talladega
35
40
23
29
26
28
Running
188/188
Running
188/188
57.5
50.8
11
Kansas
25
43
30
23
25
27
Running
265/267
Running
266/267
54.0
50.3
12
Charlotte
35
36
43
32
38
36
Crash 135/400
Running
393/400
40.2
37.2
13
Dover
24
34
42
41
37
36
Running
310/405
Running
317/405
42.5
40.4
14
Pocono
30
31
20
34
25
34
Running
160/160
Running
158/160
62.8
38.6
15
Michigan
36
35
27
30
29
30
Running
137/138
Running
137/138
50.0
44.2
16
Sonoma
27
42
35
33
26
36
Running
107/110
Running
109/110
58.6
31.0
17
Daytona
21
18
18
37
20
40
Running
161/161
Running
110/161
65.7
71.3
18
Kentucky
32
29
24
30
26
31
Running
267/267
Running
266/267
55.3
46.3
19
New Hampshire
30
38
40
36
28
36
Running
284/301
Running
296/301
45.8
36.7
20
Indianapolis
21
34
37
30
31
35
Running
161/164
Running
162/164
42.5
42.5
21
Pocono
31
39
24
26
20
26
Running
159/160
Running
159/160
62.2
53.0
22
Watkins Glen
12
40
19
31
19
29
Running
90/90
Running
90/90
70.0
40.2
23
Michigan
28
39
29
35
27
36
Running
197/200
Running
197/200
50.7
35.0
24
Bristol
14
35
12
43
13
43
Running
500/500
Engine
0/500
85.2
26.0
25
Darlington
27
39
33
39
35
39
Running
354/367
Running
300/367
39.6
34.7
26
Richmond
18
27
25
43
21
38
Running
397/400
Crash
145/400
59.2
35.2
27
Chicagoland
31
37
23
34
24
33
Running
265/267
Running
261/267
57.0
38.5
28
New Hampshire
24
38
39
29
22
33
Running
236/300
Running
297/300
60.4
41.7
29
Dover
30
38
27
37
28
37
Running
395/400
Running
387/400
53.0
37.3
30
Charlotte
28
38
40
25
32
28
Running
251/334
Running
331/334
45.2
45.7
31
Kansas
30
37
26
34
25
36
Running
266/269
Running
263/269
54.2
36.2



Allgaier:
Average Driver Rating: 57.2
Average Position: 25.5
Average Start: 25.5
Average Finish: 27.8
Top 5’s: 0
Top 10’s: 1

Annett:
Average Driver Rating: 42.6
Average Position: 33.5
Average Start: 34.3
Average Finish: 33.1
Top 5’s: 0
Top 10’s: 0


(Bold and Italicized #’s: Indicate two highest and lowest statistical values throughout the season.)

(*: Annett ran this race with Joe Falk's #33 team because he DNQ'd in his regular HScott Motorsports ride.)

On paper, HScott Motorsports 2016 season looked promising before it even started. While Justin Allgaier wouldn’t return after moving down to the Xfinity Series with JR Motorsports, the team would still have Michael Annett and one of NASCAR’s most notable drivers: Clint Bowyer. Bowyer signed with the team after his previous organization, Michael Waltrip Racing, folded after the 2015 season and his new ride with Stewart-Haas Racing wouldn’t be available until 2017 following Tony Stewart’s retirement. With Bowyer now on the team, HScott had a capable lead driver with Annett racing alongside. However, the season was beyond sour for Bowyer, Annett, and the entire organization. In thirty-one races, Bowyer’s average driver rating dropped to a career low 51.2 and his average start dipped to 30.2, which is almost five points less than Justin Allgaier’s in 2015. One bright spot on the year was Bowyer’s 23.6 average finish, which topped Allgaier’s in 2015 by over four points. Plus, Bowyer obtained 3 Top 10’s with team, but the argument against two of those finishes is that they occurred at restrictor plate tracks where Bowyer is extremely capable (“Clint Bowyer”). While Annett’s 2015 struggles can be attributed to several factors, his horrible 2016 season can only be ascribed to driver inability. Annett’s average driver rating somehow dropped eight points and his average start fell over two points. However, his average finish increased by over one position and his average running position rose by one. (“Michael Annett”). Not to discredit these increases for Bowyer and Annett, but I want to remind you that the Cup Series field decreased from forty-three drivers to forty drivers for the 2016 season. Because of this, increases in all values for both Annett and Bowyer should be there, but only a few statistical figures rose. Ultimately, the 2016 season led to the demise of HScott Motorsports. When sponsorship is there and experienced leaders are as well, the team is expected to succeed and improve over time. However, it is just incredibly hard to start a Cup team because of the expensive equipment and the necessity to grow fast. These factors culminated in the HScott’s departure from the Cup Series with only a couple of seasons to show for the hard work. For deeper analysis, here is a table with the team’s 2016 statistics through thirty-one races:                  


Clint Bowyer’s 2016 Season and Michael Annett’s 2016 Season with HScott Motorsports
Race
Track
Start
Bowyer   Annett
Finish
Bowyer  Annett
Average Position
Bowyer  Annett
Status
Total Laps
   Bowyer         Annett
Driver Rating
Bowyer     Annett
1
Daytona
31
22
33
27
25
28
Running
199/200
Running
200/200
48.2
48.3
2
Atlanta
28
34
35
30
34
30
Running
322/330
Running
325/330
38.4
40.7
3
Las Vegas
35
37
22
30
23
30
Running
267/267
Running
265/267
51.2
35.2
4
Phoenix
35
38
31
33
33
34
Running
307/313
Running
303/313
35.3
30.5
5
Auto Club
29
38
18
29
23
30
Running
205/205
Running
205/205
55.7
34.0
6
Martinsville
30
38
25
35
30
35
Running
497/500
Running
490/500
44.2
32.5
7
Texas
36
35
38
32
31
34
Crash
289/334
Crash
329/334
40.7
34.2
8
Bristol
36
40
8
31
26
34
Running
500/500
Running
492/500
58.2
31.0
9
Richmond
39
40
33
36
32
36
Running
398/400
Running
394/400
39.3
29.9
10
Talladega
34
38
7
38
21
36
Running
188/188
Crash
94/188
68.7
27.0
11
Kansas
33
39
19
32
25
33
Running
265/267
Running
260/267
54.7
33.7
12
Dover
32
37
12
37
23
34
Running 400/400
Crash
223/400
63.6
32.2
13
Charlotte
26
38
23
36
24
35
Running
395/400
Running
390/400
55.7
32.0
14
Pocono
23
36
18
38
19
31
Running
160/160
Crash
102/160
69.5
35.0
15
Michigan
34
39
23
28
24
32
Running
200/200
Running
200/200
50.7
36.8
16
Sonoma
18
40
40
36
38
36
Electrical
5/110
Running
109/110
25.3
27.2
17
Daytona
31
33
9
20
25
25
Running
161/161
Running
161/161
61.4
50.9
18
Kentucky
25
37
23
26
24
26
Running
265/267
Running
264/267
51.5
45.4
19
New Hampshire
32
37
24
33
26
34
Running
301/301
Running
295/301
51.3
31.2
20
Indianapolis
31
38
21
28
26
32
Running
169/170
Running
167/170
54.3
38.5
21
Pocono
28
39
26
29
25
31
Running
138/138
Running
137/138
49.0
37.7
22
Watkins Glen
28
38
18
37
19
38
Running
90/90
Running
74/90
68.9
24.7
23
Bristol
31
DNS*
31
DNS*
31
DNS*
Running
470/500
DNS*
35.8
DNS*
24
Michigan
27
36
40
33
28
29
Running
160/200
Running
195/200
50.8
41.8
25
Darlington
27
37
22
28
28
33
Running
365/367
Running
362/367
50.1
36.2
26
Richmond
33
37
22
31
26
33
Running
407/407
Running
390/407
47.4
36.5
27
Chicagoland
28
37
22
33
21
33
Running
269/270
Running
265/270
61.2
34.2
28
New Hampshire
37
35
22
40
28
36
Running
300/300
Steering
236/300
47.5
29.0
29
Dover
28
37
24
33
26
34
Running
394/400
Running
387/400
49.8
31.5
30
Charlotte
31
37
17
24
18
31
Running
334/334
Running
330/334
61.5
42.0
31
Kansas
31
37
26
32
28
32
Running
266/267
Running
264/267
47.4
35.9



Bowyer:
Average Driver Rating: 51.2
Average Position: 26.1
Average Start: 30.2
Average Finish: 23.6
Top 5’s: 0
Top 10’s: 3

Annett:
Average Driver Rating: 34.2
Average Position: 32.5
Average Start: 36.8
Average Finish: 31.8
Top 5’s: 0
Top 10’s: 0


(Bold and Italicized #’s: Indicate two highest and lowest statistical values throughout the season.)

(*: Annett didn't run the race at Bristol due to flu-like symptoms. Ironically, Justin Allgaier ran the car, but wrecked before the conclusion of the race.)

Now, I want to conclude the analysis of HScott Motorsports through its tenure in the Cup Series before I talk about each driver that has raced full-time with the team. Honestly, HScott Motorsports was poised for success, but expanded too quickly and decided to choose drivers with money over talent. Like I mentioned earlier, Clint Bowyer took the ride with the organization because he had no ride for 2016 and he wanted to race in Cup. Because of his seat filling, the team’s growth slowed and Bowyer’s potential as a leader disappeared. The only reason Bowyer was given the seat in the first place was because he brought 5-Hour Energy, Visine, and Maxwell House sponsorship while also bringing notoriety. The team really did an excellent job getting off the ground in 2014. Justin Allgaier’s rookie season was very respectable for a new team and driver. His 2015 season worked out similarly, but the team added a second car with a driver in Michael Annett, who is the epitome of talent over money in NASCAR. We will get into more of that later. Had the team invested in drivers like Regan Smith or even Elliott Sadler, the organization’s story would have gone much differently than it ended up following 2016. However, it’s important to understand that predictions don’t always work out. With the charter system for 2016 and the amount of sponsorship woes for all teams in NASCAR’s highest series, it is impossible to create a team and become a huge success in racing today. Tommy Baldwin Racing, which has arguably been the example for making a middle of the pack competitor in the new generation of NASCAR, signed Regan Smith for 2016 and the team still folded with a proven driver behind the wheel. Ultimately, HScott Motorsports should have stayed patient and sought growth after proving the team could handle one car on the track. I am not willing to say the team didn’t contribute to the history of NASCAR because it shut down quickly. Harry Scott Jr. proved that a new team can succeed if the right personnel, support, and drivers are there. Unfortunately, the team couldn’t organize these aspects effectively and money over talent closed the doors. Let’s talk about the team’s drivers beginning with Justin Allgaier.

Before Justin Allgaier arrived at HScott Motorsports, the Riverton, Illinois, driver spent several years in lower NASCAR series, among other racing divisions. His major racing career began in the ARCA Racing Series piloting cars for his father, Mike. He ran sporadic races before running his first full ARCA season in 2006. Allgaier continued in the ARCA Series in 2007 and 2008, taking the 2008 ARCA championship away from the legendary Frank Kimmel. His success in ARCA caught the attention of Roger Penske and the historic car owner tapped the Midwest driver to wheel his Verizon Wireless Nationwide Series entry in 2009. His rookie year was successful and he took the Rookie of the Year honors for the series. 2010 was even more successful with Penske as he added some Top 5’s and Top 10’s along with a win at Bristol. After the season, Allgaier moved to Turner Motorsports with Steve Turner, a new full-time owner in the series who had purchased Braun Racing. He maintained his consistency in the series with another win at Chicagoland and a third-place points finish, which is tied for his highest points finish as of 2016. 2012 was the same story for the Illinois driver with a single victory at the road course in Montreal and a consistent run for the championship. While 2013 didn’t hold any wins for Allgaier, the season was another impressive one as he grabbed a fifth-place points finish. With all the consistency, Harry Scott Jr., who was a partner with Steve Turner in the Nationwide Series, tapped Allgaier to drive for his newly acquired Cup team from James Finch (“Justin Allgaier”). After a brief recap of his previous career, let’s analyze the merits of Allgaier’s current ride and tenure with HScott Motorsports.

When most critics analyze Allgaier’s stats, having his dad as an owner at the start of his career and having the same sponsor since 2011 raises some eyebrows. These two things make it appear as if he is a money gifted driver without talent. However, Justin’s career is immersed with talent even with these two misconceptions. And they truly are misconceptions. Mike Allgaier might have owned the car, but the team didn’t have a hefty budget and Justin wasn’t crashing equipment weekly. Brandt, his sponsor since 2011 with Turner Motorsports, is based just a few miles from his hometown of Riverton and Allgaier has been an admirable representative of the company with his performance and demeanor off the track. With that in mind and seeing all the statistics for his time with HScott Motorsports, it is easy to see how much talent Allgaier has. He outperformed Clint Bowyer in the same exact equipment and he has continually battled for championships in the Xfinity Series when he has run full time. However, he only ended up completing two seasons in the Cup Series before moving back to the Xfinity Series with the very capable JR Motorsports team. In 2016, Allgaier ran consistently and even without a win, he finished the year at Homestead in the Championship 4 with a great shot at the title. In 2017, he will remain with the team and he is deserving of the opportunity because statistics show his talent and performance behind the wheel. He worked his way up the ladder and even after losing his Cup ride, he was determined and found a very successful ride in the Xfinity Series Also, he will continue to be a great leader with Elliott Sadler as the two veterans look to help William Byron grow in his first year in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. In addition to those three drivers, a familiar name will be running the full season at JR Motorsports: Michael Annett. Now, we will look at Annett’s career along with his tenure at HScott and his new opportunity.

To analyze Michael Annett’s time at HScott Motorsports, it is important to understand where his career began. Annett’s first high level racing opportunity came in the ARCA Racing Series with Kevin Cywinski’s Win-Tron Racing team in 2007 at Iowa. A third place run at his home race track led to Bill Davis Racing taking notice. After two more starts with Win-Tron, Annett ran his first race with Bill Davis in ARCA at Talladega. The decision to race Annett worked out perfectly as the Des Moines driver took a dominating victory in his first race at a superspeedway. He returned to the BDR team for 2008 in select ARCA Racing Series and NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series races. Annett ultimately won his first start of 2008 at Daytona for his second ARCA win and he took a second-place finish in the Trucks at Kentucky. The Iowa driver grabbed even more attention as Germain Racing put him in their Nationwide car and Craftsman Truck for a single race at the end of the season. The two appearances with Germain impressed as Annett took a full-time Nationwide ride with the team for 2009 with sponsorship from Pilot Travel Centers, who also sponsored him in ARCA and Trucks. Four Top 10’s in 2009 led to his return for the 2010 season with Germain. However, the team wasn’t as strong and only two Top 10’s led to Annett’s departure for Rusty Wallace Racing for the 2011 season. Annett’s stint with RWR started roughly after he was arrested for driving with a blood alcohol content of 0.32 one week before the Nationwide Series season opener at Daytona (Newton). However, Annett didn’t miss a race and he finished the season with a career best 7 Top 10’s. His tenure with Rusty Wallace ended after the season, but he quickly moved to the team of another legend: Richard Petty. Annett was incredibly successful with RPM in 2012 as he grabbed six Top 5 finishes and seventeen Top 10 finishes in addition to a fifth-place points finish. He returned to the Petty team for 2013, but the season came to a halt for Annett as he broke his sternum in a late crash in the season opener at Daytona (Gluck). He returned at Charlotte for his RPM team, but struggled to gain a single Top 5 and only 4 Top 10’s. However, opportunities appeared for the Iowa driver and he moved up to the Cup Series with Tommy Baldwin Racing for a 2014 rookie run. After a rather disappointing year with the team, Annett moved to HScott Motorsports and became one of the central figures of our analysis (“Michael Annett”). 

While most people rightly point out that Annett has no familial connection to his Pilot Travel Centers/Flying J sponsorship, he does have a connection to his career long sponsor. His father, Harrold W. Annett, is the Chief Executive Officer of TMC Transportation, which is one of the United States’ largest trucking and flatbed carrier companies (“Our Company”). Pilot Travel Centers cater to truck drivers and this connection with TMC makes it much more profitable to support Michael Annett and grow closer for business with his father. Plus, TMC has also sponsored Annett in several races in NASCAR and the company has played an active role in his career. Honestly, all this combined with his results on the track prove that Michael Annett’s sustainability in NASCAR is because of the money he brings. Now, I don’t mean any disrespect to Annett. In interviews and other media, Annett seems like a very determined driver and he seems to be very thankful for his opportunity in NASCAR. However, he continues year after year to take rides from capable and deserving drivers while showing virtually no improvement. His 2015 and 2016 seasons for HScott were abysmal. It seemed like race after race he was running behind drivers with no sponsors while his fully sponsored car failed to catch up. I have often questioned why he was in the Cup Series to begin with. His 2012 Nationwide Series run with Richard Petty was indeed impressive, but he had never won in the series and he had never proven any overall consistency. Again, the only discernable reason for his rise to Cup level was because of his secure sponsorship. Ultimately, this pursuit of money over talent to build up HScott Motorsports forced Harry Scott Jr. to close his doors after only three full seasons in the series. Finally, I want to address his 2017 ride with JR Motorsports. The list of drivers more deserving than Annett for a full-time ride with Dale Earnhardt Jr.’s Xfinity Series team is extremely long. Alex Bowman, Regan Smith, Blake Koch, Ryan Sieg, and many others come to mind as championship contenders who would fit the seat perfectly. Yet, Annett, with his secure sponsorship, filled the ride because no one on that list has a sponsor to match their talent. While Annett will make the Xfinity Chase in 2017 with his three other teammates, the Chase berth will come due to virtually no top tier teams in NASCAR’s secondary series and he will be the worst driver at JR Motorsports. I’m thankful for all drivers in NASCAR for racing hard every week, but Michael Annett’s money has kept real talent out of the sport and has helped push both Tommy Baldwin Racing and HSM out of the sport.

Now, let’s talk about the major reason for this research article: Clint Bowyer. During the Charlotte race in October, I watched as Bowyer’s name clicked by on the ticker in about 28th position. I pondered how Bowyer, who recently came close to winning a Cup title, became the disappointment of 2016. However, I also wondered how a driver could seemingly deserve an opportunity driving for Tony Stewart when he has failed to compete in top rides in recent seasons. Before we get into my conclusions on these thoughts, let’s quickly recap Bowyer’s respectable career in NASCAR. The Emporia, Kansas, driver first appeared on a NASCAR tour with a full season run in the NASCAR Midwest Tour in 2003 where he only mustered a season best ninth place finish. However, he also ran two ARCA Racing Series events with Billy and Bobby Gerhart. In the first race, Bowyer drove the two brothers’ car to an impressive second place finish, which caught the attention of legendary car owner Richard Childress. Childress, who was the owner for six of Dale Earnhardt’s championships, put Bowyer in one of his NASCAR Busch Series entries on a part-time basis in 2004. Bowyer split time in the #21 car while also running for Kevin Harvick’s team in a couple of races. 2005 gave Bowyer an even bigger opportunity as he ran the full year for RCR and took two wins along with a second-place points finish. In 2006, Bowyer’s career continued to rise as he ran the full Busch Series and full Nextel Cup Series schedule. Bowyer remained successful with a Busch Series win and a consistent rookie season in Cup with 11 Top 10’s. He also took a Craftsman Truck Series victory at Texas. In 2007, Bowyer scaled back to a part-time ride in the Busch Series in addition to his full Cup Series ride. He took three total NASCAR wins on the year, including his first Cup Series victory at New Hampshire. The 2008 season was even more successful for the Kansas driver as he took the NASCAR Nationwide Series, which used to be the Busch Series, championship along with another win in the Cup Series while running full-time. The 2009 season led to a fully focused NASCAR Sprint Cup Series season along with two wins in the NASCAR Nationwide Series. While 2009 was winless in the Cup Series, 2010 gave Bowyer two wins later in the year as he continued to succeed driving for Richard Childress. However, 2011 would ultimately be his last with the team as he decided to run with Michael Waltrip Racing beginning in 2012. Bowyer wouldn’t go out winless in 2011, however, as he took a Talladega win from his teammate, Jeff Burton. As successful as Bowyer appeared to be at RCR, 2012 proved how talented Bowyer could truly be with the right opportunity. In his first season with MWR, he ran his best Cup season and took three wins, 10 Top 5’s, and 23 Top 10’s along with a career best second place points finish. While 2012 looked like the launching point for greatness, he was unable to win in 2013 and the notorious Spingate at Richmond where Bowyer spun to put Martin Truex Jr. in the Chase left MWR and the Kansas driver reeling. 2014 and 2015 left Bowyer with little success to brag about except for a 2015 Chase berth. However, he was eliminated in the first round of the Chase after three mediocre runs. (“Clint Bowyer”). Plus, while the 2015 season was going on, Rob Kauffman, who owned part of MWR, announced the team would cease operations after the season due to poor performance for the amount of money spent on the organization (Pockrass). This left Bowyer without a ride, but quickly he was signed to replace the retiring Tony Stewart for the 2017 season. Yet, this left 2016 still without a secure ride for the former Xfinity Series champion. Harry Scott Jr.’s team was quick to solve this problem as they signed the Emporia, Kansas, native to drive the team’s top car for the 2016 season. Now, let’s begin our analysis of Clint Bowyer as a driver and his short tenure with HScott Motorsports. 

Prior to the 2013 season, I would have argued that Clint Bowyer was one of the most underrated drivers in NASCAR’s highest series. He finished third in points in 2007 with a Richard Childress Racing team that has declined since his departure and he finished second in points in 2012 in his first year with a new organization. Yet, since that 2012 season, Bowyer has shown his true personality and has made me believe that he is now in the discussion as NASCAR’s most overrated driver. I truly mean that as no disrespect to the Kansas driver. He is one of the throwback drivers in the sport and he has honored previous legends like Benny Parsons throughout his Cup career. However, results on the track and attitude should be important for NASCAR drivers and Bowyer has failed repeatedly in that regard for the past couple of seasons. I have one more chart to look and it is to help with my conclusions about Clint Bowyer. The table details his 2015 statistics with MWR. Now, I know it was arguably his worst Cup season and the parameters of success can’t be used for a terrible season. Plus, most of it was run when the team was closing shop and new opportunities were coming out. To fight off this potential bias, I only included the same thirty-one races for him as previous tables and only seven races are run after the closing announcement. Still, listen to this quote from Rob Kauffmann from an ESPN article: “You can't have a top-10 budget and top-10 resources and not be in the top 10 for a sustained period of time” (Pockrass). Based on this quote from an owner of MWR, the team had all the capabilities and finances to compete for championships and wins year after year, but the results aren’t there. And as Clint Bowyer’s 2015 results convey, Kauffman has a legitimate point. For deeper analysis, here is a table with his 2015 statistics through thirty-one races: 


Clint Bowyer’s 2015 Season with Michael Waltrip Racing
Race
Track
Start
Finish
Average Position
Status
Total Laps
Driver Rating
1
Daytona
9
7
17
Running
203/203
88.4
2
Atlanta
25
24
14
Running
321/325
73.9
3
Las Vegas
20
21
23
Running
265/267
62.0
4
Phoenix
30
24
20
Running
312/312
70.5
5
Auto Club
10
30
17
Running
209/209
67.6
6
Martinsville
30
13
12
Running
500/500
86.4
7
Texas
27
22
31
Running
334/334
56.3
8
Bristol
37
12
12
Running
511/511
87.9
9
Richmond
17
9
10
Running
400/400
96.3
10
Talladega
10
30
23
Running
188/188
61.7
11
Kansas
21
21
23
Running
266/267
63.8
12
Charlotte
24
20
22
Running 399/400
61.1
13
Dover
20
9
12
Running
405/405
96.5
14
Pocono
23
22
26
Running
160/160
55.4
15
Michigan
32
10
18
Running
138/138
79.5
16
Sonoma
6
3
8
Running
110/110
112.3
17
Daytona
3
10
20
Running
161/161
69.3
18
Kentucky
30
19
20
Running
267/267
70.5
19
New Hampshire
18
34
27
Running
297/301
49.8
20
Indianapolis
7
6
16
Running
164/164
87.5
21
Pocono
19
8
15
Running
160/160
87.8
22
Watkins Glen
18
6
13
Running
90/90
90.0
23
Michigan
12
41
18
Running
164/200
84.8
24
Bristol
9
5
6
Running
500/500
108.5
25
Darlington
28
17
19
Running
367/367
71.1
26
Richmond
26
10
16
Running
400/400
81.2
27
Chicagoland
26
19
22
Running
265/267
63.2
28
New Hampshire
26
26
21
Running
299/300
65.6
29
Dover
16
14
14
Running
400/400
89.3
30
Charlotte
23
11
17
Running
334/334
79.1
31
Kansas
26
40
25
Crash
170/269
59.5



Average Start: 26.3
Average Finish: 26.4
Average Running Position: 25.4
Average Driver Rating: 58.0
Top 5’s: 0
Top 10’s: 0


(Bold and Italicized #’s: Indicate two highest and lowest statistical values throughout the season.)

I’ll give Bowyer credit. His 2015 season, as dismal as it was, was a Chase year for the Kansas driver. However, he was the last driver to make the Chase field and the grid had been enlarged to sixteen drivers starting in 2014. It has become increasingly easy to make the Chase, but moving on is still a challenge. Chase berth or not, the numbers don’t lie on how rough these thirty-one races were. He had an average driver rating of 75.0, an average start of 19.3, and an average finish of 17.5 with only 2 Top 5’s and 11 Top 10’s. Just for comparison, Allgaier, running in the same 2015 season, started only six spots lower on average with a second-year team without a Top 10 budget. Then, as we discussed previously, Allgaier was more successful in averages than Bowyer was in his time with HScott Motorsports. Yet, Bowyer is considered a championship caliber driver and he is now driving the #14 for Stewart-Haas Racing in 2017, which was previously occupied by a three-time Cup Series champion. I don’t really understand why he is considered such a capable driver with all these statistics and stories surrounding him. Bowyer’s rhetoric when he took the ride with HScott Motorsports was that a “winning team” would be established, but the team has now ceased operations after Bowyer didn’t come close to winning with the team (Scott). Now, that same driver is running for an elite Cup organization that competes and wins titles while his statistics have shown signs of declining. Honestly, he will perform well this year because he always succeeds in his first year with a top-level organization, but he will decline over the next few seasons. Still, fans will forget how he participated, along with Michael Annett, in the ultimate demise of a relatively new Cup team trying to compete. I really wish another championship caliber driver could be in Tony Stewart’s cherished #14 for the next few seasons, but it appears Clint will be behind the wheel and occupying another seat talented drivers would perform year after year in. As much as I love Clint’s throwback style, his numbers and attitude throughout the season with HScott Motorsports leave me questioning his abilities and his deservedness for another top tier ride.

NASCAR is stuck in a bit of a conundrum. The sport and its teams have been forced in recent years to decide whether to invest solely in talent or in money when choosing drivers. While teams like Hendrick Motorsports and Joe Gibbs Racing are already stocked with money and talented drivers, smaller and new teams must balance this idea of team formation. If you look at Michael Waltrip Racing, the team had money and only needed to select talented drivers to fill their seats, which they did. However, the team still lost the battle to make it in the sport because the money and results must be consistent, which is impossible for new teams. Then, there is the very interesting case of HScott Motorsports. The team decided to go with sponsor bringing drivers to make money for future seasons. At the same time, the team signed Clint Bowyer, who is full of talent across his Cup Series career. And even Michael Annett has shown flashes of talent. Yet, even with the corporate sponsorships and the debatably talented drivers on board, HScott Motorsports is no longer running in the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series. 

I’m not one to blame drivers in arguments and, truly, NASCAR’s issues with new teams and sustainability runs alongside the new stock brokering charter system where the only way into the race is buying a charter. Add on to that the amount of money for Top 10 equipment, which makes owning a NASCAR team look like a financial nightmare for even millionaires like Rob Kauffman. Still, HScott Motorsports and its drivers have to take some of the blame for its failure in the sport. Harry Scott Jr. sought to expand his team too much and by stretching resources on an already limited budget, the team was left running hard to finish in twenty fifth even with a championship caliber Clint Bowyer behind the wheel. Bowyer and Annett aren’t without blame either. Bowyer seemed to want his tenure with HScott Motorsports to end after only a few races when he promised success and seemed excited when he first signed. Annett never really seemed to battle and try like he needed to for his sponsor and especially his team. I believe Justin Allgaier truly wanted the Cup opportunity with Harry Scott Jr. and truly used all his talent to help the organization. Ultimately, I mean no disrespect to Annett, Bowyer, or any of the figures mentioned in this article, except for Rob Kauffman. He deserves all the hammering he gets for his arrogant attitude and his choking of NASCAR’s smaller teams with his large pockets. I might have used one of his good points earlier, but it doesn’t eliminate the fact that he contributed to NASCAR being a money driven sport. I respect any driver and team owner who is willing to race and support my favorite sport. But I won’t sit idle and watch as NASCAR crumbles in the minds of fans all over the world. Our sport needs to move from its reform minded ideas of recent years back to its go hard attitude of the previous eras. If it doesn’t, there will be no new teams for years to come and soon, the amount of charters will go from 36 to even less as teams close and others can’t afford to take those slots. HScott Motorsports provided an excellent example of this development in the sport and I hope my analysis was not only thought provoking about the corporate landscape of NASCAR for smaller teams, but also highlighted the implications of drivers on the future success of a team and how we view those drivers on the race track from race to race. 



Works Cited
“About HSM.” Official Site of HScott Motorsports, HScott Motorsports, www.hscottmotorsports.com/hsm.

“Clint Bowyer.” Clint Bowyer Career Statistics, Racing-Reference.info, racing-reference.info/driver/Clint_Bowyer.

Gluck, Jeff. “Michael Annett Out Indefinitely with Broken Sternum.” USA Today, Gannett Satellite Information Network, 26 Feb. 2013, www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nascar/2013/02/26/michael-annett-nascar-injury-daytona-surgery/1949905/.

“Harry Scott, Jr.” Harry Scott, Jr. Owner Statistics, Racing-Reference.info, racing-reference.info/owner/Harry_Scott_Jr.

“Justin Allgaier.” Justin Allgaier Career Statistics, Racing-Reference.info, racing-reference.info/driver/Justin_Allgaier.

“Michael Annett.” Michael Annett Career Statistics, Racing-Reference.info, racing-reference.info/driver/Michael_Annett.

Newton, David. “Michael Annett Arrested with .32 BAC.” ESPN, ESPN Internet Ventures, 7 Feb. 2011, www.espn.com/racing/nascar/nationwide/news/story?id=6099490.

“Our Company.” TMC: An Employee-Owned Company, TMC Transportation, www.tmctrans.com/our-company/default.aspx.

Pockrass, Bob. “Michael Waltrip Racing to Cease Operations at Season's End.” ESPN, ESPN Internet Ventures, 22 Aug. 2015, www.espn.com/racing/nascar/cup/story/_/id/13482001/rob-kauffman-announces-michael-waltrip-racing-cease-operations-season-end.

Scott, David. “NASCAR: Clint Bowyer Signs with HScott Motorsports for '16 Cup Season.” Charlotte Observer, 2 Oct. 2015, www.charlotteobserver.com/sports/nascar-auto-racing/thatsracin/article37389561.html.



Note: I'm sorry a couple of the charts don't remain on the full page of the article. I couldn't get them to shrink so I just left the last couple of columns hanging off.