Almost all the time, the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series races on tracks with four turns. Twice every year, the series heads to a road course with many winding and quick turns on the circuit. Two other times a year, the case is completely different. The series heads around a triangle with only three corners instead of the typical four. That track is known as Pocono Raceway or “The Tricky Triangle”. Because of its unique shape and tricky corners, Pocono has been home to some of the oddest wrecks and craziest finishes in NASCAR history. In terms of wrecks, it isn't too hard to find those. In 1992, Davey Allison went barrel rolling down the straightaway between turns 1 and 2 after contact with Darrell Waltrip. Allison was unhurt for the most part, but the wreck was extremely big. In 2003, Ken Schrader slammed into the turn 1 wall and went for a flip before catching on fire. There also have been a good many altercations at the track. In 2010, Kevin Harvick and Joey Logano had problems on track and the discussion after the race still has not been forgotten today. In 2011, Kurt Busch and Jimmie Johnson had a little discussion after the race due to some contact late in the race. There have also been some great finishes. One example was a season ago in the August race. Kasey Kahne drove the wheels off his car on the final restart and held off Jeff Gordon to take his second win of the season in a rather tense situation. Other races have ended in the same fashion, but one thing has always been the same about Pocono: the racing is always great. With that, I have a few topics I want to discuss with you guys before the race starts today. Topics include a discussion of Greg Biffle, a discussion of Carl Edwards, a discussion of Ricky Stenhouse Jr., a discussion of Matt Kenseth, and my pick to win this afternoon's race. Let us not wait any longer and jump into these interesting topics before a race at the interesting track in Pennsylvania.
1. Greg Biffle: Will He Be at Roush-Fenway Racing Next Season?
This week's edition of my thoughts begins with discussions of the three drivers at Roush-Fenway Racing. The first discussion is of Greg Biffle. Recently, Biffle and his teammate, Carl Edwards, have been rumored to be in the process of moving away from RFR next season. If you recall, Biffle has been running full time for Jack Roush since 2003 and Biffle has won nineteen races while looking to be the first driver to win a championship in all three of NASCAR's highest series. When Matt Kenseth left Roush at the end of the 2012 season, Biffle became the veteran leader of the team. Biffle did well in that role in 2013 with a win and a ninth place points finish, but he really needs more for his abilities. This year has been decent for Biffle, but he is still looking for speed from week to week and his first win of the season. With all that in mind, I have one question for Biffle. Will he be at Roush-Fenway Racing next year? I think he will. Listen, you can make a case for him staying and leaving, but staying seems like the better option. The main reason is he is working for a team that has been good for years in NASCAR. Biffle has been the guy for Roush and he really hasn't disappointed his team there. I think it would suit him to stay there and continue rattling off wins for Jack. A final reason is Biffle can still run well for the Ford camp. I think Biffle still has the potential to grab wins for Roush and I still think he can win a title for them. All he has to do is remain the face of the organization and I think he can do that. All in all, expect Greg Biffle to remain at RFR driver next year and contend like he always does in the Cup Series.
2. Carl Edwards: Will He Be at Roush-Fenway Racing Next Season?
The other side of the leaving Roush-Fenway Racing discussion is with Carl Edwards. Edwards has also been rumored to be leaving the team after the 2014 season. If you recall, Edwards has been a full time driver for Jack Roush since 2005 along with winning twenty two races and finishing second in the points in 2008 and 2011. Carl Edwards has really been a huge part of the Roush-Fenway Racing organization since he came in 2005 and he is now part of the duo with Greg Biffle and the trio with Ricky Stenhouse Jr. I just have one question for Edwards. Will he be at Roush-Fenway Racing next season? I don't really see him at Roush next season. The main reason is the caliber of teams who have been considering signing him for next season. Team Penske and Joe Gibbs Racing have both shown interest in Edwards. Both of these teams have been performing great recently in NASCAR's highest series. Listen to this statistic. In thirteen races this season, those two teams have combined to win five races thus far. To me, both of those teams sound like they know what they are doing and Edwards would be a good fit. A final reason is Edwards needs a change to win a title. Let's face it. Edwards probably does not have a chance to win a championship at Roush. I could be wrong, but it just doesn't seem like the team is consistent from week to week. Gibbs and Penske are two organizations who will have teams that can win championships for years to come. Edwards needs that environment and I think he could take a title at either one of those organizations. Carl Edwards has been a mainstay driver at Roush for going on ten years, but it seems like he is close to a change in his career.
3. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Why Has He Been Struggling This Year?
To end the discussions of the trio of Roush-Fenway Racing drivers, we will discuss Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Stenhouse's season didn't start off bad, but since a second place finish at Bristol, he has been really struggling. He has only finished in the top twenty two times in nine races since then. If you recall, Stenhouse made the jump to NASCAR's highest series last year and he took the rookie of the year award after having a decent year. It looked like he would continue to improve this year after a decent rookie season, but with the exception of the second at Bristol, he hasn't been running well at all in his sophomore season. Here is my question for Stenhouse. Why has he been struggling this year? I think the main reason might be this uncertainty at Roush-Fenway Racing for next year. In the previous topics, I discussed how Greg Biffle and Carl Edwards are, potentially, leaving the team. This has left the team in a little bit of turmoil and I feel like Stenhouse has made his way into the situation. I'm sure he looks up to Biffle and Edwards and they are his role models, which causes him to want them to stay there. A final reason for his struggles, in my opinion, is the new pairing with his Nationwide crew chief, Mike Kelley, for 2014. Kelley led Stenhouse to two Nationwide championships in 2011 and 2012, but the Cup Series is different. The two have to grow a different notebook together and that takes a good bit of time. I feel like their partnership will build a great notebook and they will be fine as the series continues to visit tracks for a second time. I really don't think Stenhouse's struggles are permanent and he will be able to make his way to the top in the Cup Series.
4. Matt Kenseth: Will He Win a Race This Year?
At this point one season ago, Matt Kenseth had three wins for his new team at Joe Gibbs Racing and he was a perennial contender in the championship. This season after thirteen races, Kenseth is still a perennial championship contender with the points lead, but there is one key difference: no wins. Unlike last year, Kenseth has rattled off no wins in thirteen races in 2014. If you recall, Kenseth finished off 2013 with seven wins and a second place finish in the championship behind one Jimmie Johnson. Here is the thing, though. Kenseth hasn't been bad this year. He has finished in the top five five times this season and he has been great all year, but victory lane has alluded him. Here is my question for Kenseth and his team. Will he win a race this season in the Cup Series? He will definitely win a race in the Cup Series this season. The main reason is just how consistent Kenseth has been this season. Every single race this year, Kenseth has had the opportunity to win the race. At Charlotte two weeks ago, he was leading in the final ten laps before Jimmie Johnson passed him for the win. A week ago at Dover, Kenseth was in position on the final restart, but he couldn't pass Johnson to take the win. To me, it seems like he just needs the right opportunity to win the race. A final reason is the race tracks we are about to visit. We are about to go to Kentucky, New Hampshire, Daytona, and others and Kenseth has won at all of these tracks. I think he will be a contender at all these tracks and he can easily take a win at any of them. Don't worry about Kenseth's chances for a win the rest of the year because he will definitely be a factor to take a win.
5. My Pick to Win
Pocono is one track on the Cup Series schedule that is built for certain drivers. A driver either loves the track or hates it because of the tough conditions and the tough layout. Some of the greatest in our sport have never won a race at Pocono and some of the best have taken a good many wins at the raceway. In terms of a winner today, it doesn't take an expert to find that Hendrick Motorsports will be a team to watch throughout the race. Listen to this statistic. In the last three races at Pocono, a different Hendrick Motorsports driver has won the race. It seems like all four of their drivers will be there when the race is nearing the finish. Along with the Hendrick drivers, there are a good many others to watch out for. Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Carl Edwards, Tony Stewart, and Kurt Busch look like possible winners in today's race at Pocono. Also, look at Ryan Newman and Austin Dillon as possible underdog winners in the race. I am excited about today's race, but I won't be able to write about it because I am on vacation. I will still be watching and cheering on some great triangular racing. Well, that is all for me and until we meet again.
Credits:
-Image:
http://armchaircrewchief.files.wordpress.com/2010/06/edited-harvickloganopocono.jpg
Sunday, June 8, 2014
Saturday, June 7, 2014
Denny Hamlin Barely Outlasts Kurt Busch to Win the Pole at Pocono
With a time of 49.610 seconds (181.415 mph), Denny Hamlin outlasted Kurt Busch's third round lap by a mere two thousandths of a second to take the pole. Hamlin was definitely not the fastest guy throughout the session. Brian Vickers was the fastest after the first round and Kurt Busch was the fastest guy after the second round. Hamlin was in the middle of the pack for most of the session, but the third round speeds would decide the pole. Kevin Harvick jumped to the top of the board early in the round, but Brad Keselowski quickly took away the provisional pole. Just seconds later, though, Denny Hamlin laid down his fastest lap of the session and took the provisional pole. A couple of minutes remained and he still had to hold on. Kurt Busch moved within two thousandths of a second on Hamlin, but he was able to hold onto the provisional pole and take his second pole of the season in the Cup Series. Kurt Busch came close to a pole, but he will have to start second on Sunday. Brad Keselowski looked good throughout the session and he will roll off third on Sunday. Kevin Harvick has been fast for the entire year and he will roll off fourth at Pocono, where he has no wins in his career. Jeff Gordon will roll off fifth at a track where he almost won in August last year. The first knockout qualifying session at Pocono was one that left a lot of drivers scratching their heads. Jimmie Johnson and Kasey Kahne, the two drivers who won at Pocono last year, will both start outside of the top twenty with Johnson the highest in twentieth. Dave Blaney went for a spin after breaking loose and he couldn't figure out what caused his problem. Other drivers had to deal with terrible race cars and they will have to fight their way to the front. Some drivers were happy after the session, but they were tough to find. Qualifying is very important at Pocono and it could decide who will win on Sunday after four hundred miles.
A.J. Allmendinger was the first driver on track to start the twenty five minute first round. He ran a good lap to start the session, but he would have to contend with a couple more rounds to decide the pole. Early on in the round, Kevin Harvick jumped to the top of the board in the round. Harvick looked to remain steady at the top, but Brian Vickers, who was fastest in practice earlier in the day, jumped to the top of the board with ease. The rest of the field began to head on track, but Vickers looked to be the fastest man in Pennsylvania. The minutes began to click away in the round and the action was beginning to heat up. With about nine minutes left, Dave Blaney had troubles on track. Blaney broke loose in turn 1 and his car began to slide up the track. He chased his car up the track and he spun as he looked to save it. He was able to avoid the wall and he came to a stop just on the exit of turn 1. He was able to drive away without damage. Blaney wouldn't be able to turn a lap, but he would make the show because only forty three drivers attempted to qualify. The spin brought the round to a stop for the moment, but the scene was quickly cleaned up and the round went back green. Cars returned to the speedway as the minutes started to click by once again. With about four minutes left, the battle for the twenty fourth and final transfer spot started to heat up. Paul Menard, Martin Truex Jr., Matt Kenseth, Kasey Kahne, and others were all battling for the final spot. A few drivers began to jump into the second round as a few drivers dropped out. With about a minute left, Kyle Larson was in the final transfer spot. The red and black flag waved and Larson remained the final driver to move on. Brian Vickers remained the fastest after the round with a very quick time. Jimmie Johnson, Jeff Gordon, Tony Stewart, Kevin Harvick, Danica Patrick, Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Kyle Busch, and others moved on while Kasey Kahne, Matt Kenseth, and others barely missed the second round. The rather slow twenty five minute first round would move into a rather quick ten minute second round.
Joey Logano was the first driver on track to start the ten minute second round. He ran a good lap and he looked to be in the top twelve early on in the ten minutes. Early on in the round, Brad Keselowski jumped to the top of the board with a track record speed for the session. Keselowski remained on top as the minutes began to click away. Kurt Busch eventually bested his time and he moved Keselowski to second position in the round. Minutes clicked down and with about three left, the battle for the twelfth and final transfer spot began to heat up. Austin Dillon, Jimmie Johnson, Greg Biffle, Kyle Larson, Ryan Newman, and others were battling for the spot. The final few minutes began to click away on the round and drivers were still heading on track. The red and black flag waved and Austin Dillon remained in the twelfth and final transfer spot and he was able to move on in the session. Kurt Busch remained the fastest going towards the third round. Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Brian Vickers, Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, Tony Stewart, Jeff Gordon, Joey Logano, Carl Edwards, and Dale Earnhardt Jr. also moved on while Jimmie Johnson, Greg Biffle, Kyle Larson, and others missed the final round. A quick five minute final round would decide the polesitter at Pocono for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series.
Joey Logano was the first driver on track for the five minute third round. Logano ran a good lap to start the round, but it seemed like the battle for the pole would happen without him. Early on, Kevin Harvick jumped to the top of the board over the few drivers who had went out. The minutes clicked by fast through the final round and soon, only a minute and a half remained with Harvick still the man to beat. With a minute left, though, that changed. Brad Keselowski jumped to the top of the board with ease and looked to be the guy on pole with a minute left, but that changed in a matter of seconds. Denny Hamlin quickly passed the line within seconds of Keselowski and he took the provisional pole with ease. Hamlin was at the top, but he still had to outlast a few drivers. Kurt Busch looked fast on his lap, but he fell two one thousandths of a second short of taking the provisional pole. The red and black flag waved and a few drivers were still on fast laps. Carl Edwards crossed the line and he finished his run without taking the pole. This left Denny Hamlin on top and with his second pole of the season in the Cup Series. It was Hamlin's nineteenth career pole in NASCAR and the pole will continue to help him as he looks to return to prominence in NASCAR's highest series.
Denny Hamlin's last year and a half in NASCAR's highest series has been quite a struggle. Hamlin broke a bone in his back at Auto Club last year and it took him some time to recover. After returning from the injury, he struggled at almost every track. He won at Homestead to end 2013, but he needed something else to boost his career again after his struggles. He really gained that boost in Daytona this year. He won the Sprint Unlimited and his Duel race along with coming home second in the 500. It looked like he was back, but he was hit with another road block. At Auto Club, he suffered an eye injury and was forced to miss the event. This left Hamlin again searching for answers to his recent problems. He found those answers at Talladega almost a month later. He went out in the race and he was able to take the win and, practically, guarantee himself a Chase spot for this year. Flash forward to qualifying at Pocono on Friday. Hamlin went out and took the pole at a track where he has won four previous times. Hamlin will be good on Sunday and he will definitely be a factor to take his second win of the season and punch his ticket for the Chase. Kurt Busch ran fast for the entire session and he took a second place starting spot behind Hamlin. Brad Keselowski continued his success in knockout qualifying with a third place starting spot. Kevin Harvick continued to run fast for his new team with a fourth place qualifying run. Jeff Gordon has been fast recently and he continued using that speed with a fifth place starting spot. One key thing to watch on Sunday is some heavy favorites in the race at the back of the field on the start. Jimmie Johnson, Kasey Kahne, and Matt Kenseth all start outside the top twenty and have to make their way to the front. It will be a good show tomorrow and contenders will have to battle for the win through four hundred miles of triangular racing. Will Jimmie Johnson repeat in the summer at Pocono, will Kasey Kahne go back-to-back at Pocono, or will another driver head to victory lane at “The Tricky Triangle”? We will have to wait only one night before we find out these answers and a whole lot more.
(More Stats Down Below!)
Top 5 Qualifiers (With Times):
1st: Denny Hamlin 49.610 (181.415 mph)
2nd: Kurt Busch 49.612 (181.408 mph)
3rd: Brad Keselowski 49.637 (181.316 mph)
4th: Kevin Harvick 49.770 (180.832 mph)
5th: Jeff Gordon 49.858 (180.513 mph)
Notables Not in Top 5 (With Times):
6th: Kyle Busch 49.873 (180.458 mph)
7th: Joey Logano 50.048 (179.827 mph)
8th: Dale Earnhardt Jr. 50.121 (179.565 mph)
12th: Tony Stewart 50.244 (179.126 mph)
16th: Danica Patrick 50.265 (179.051 mph)
20th: Jimmie Johnson 50.370 (178.678 mph)
26th: Matt Kenseth 50.571 (177.968 mph)
27th: Kasey Kahne 50.588 (177.908 mph)
DNQs: None
Credits:
-My Own Notes
-Statistics:
http://www.nascar.com/en_us/sprint-cup-series/leaderboard/leaderboard-qualification.html
http://racing-reference.info/getqualify/2014-14/W
-Image:
http://ww3.hdnux.com/photos/30/36/35/6416230/3/628x471.jpg
A.J. Allmendinger was the first driver on track to start the twenty five minute first round. He ran a good lap to start the session, but he would have to contend with a couple more rounds to decide the pole. Early on in the round, Kevin Harvick jumped to the top of the board in the round. Harvick looked to remain steady at the top, but Brian Vickers, who was fastest in practice earlier in the day, jumped to the top of the board with ease. The rest of the field began to head on track, but Vickers looked to be the fastest man in Pennsylvania. The minutes began to click away in the round and the action was beginning to heat up. With about nine minutes left, Dave Blaney had troubles on track. Blaney broke loose in turn 1 and his car began to slide up the track. He chased his car up the track and he spun as he looked to save it. He was able to avoid the wall and he came to a stop just on the exit of turn 1. He was able to drive away without damage. Blaney wouldn't be able to turn a lap, but he would make the show because only forty three drivers attempted to qualify. The spin brought the round to a stop for the moment, but the scene was quickly cleaned up and the round went back green. Cars returned to the speedway as the minutes started to click by once again. With about four minutes left, the battle for the twenty fourth and final transfer spot started to heat up. Paul Menard, Martin Truex Jr., Matt Kenseth, Kasey Kahne, and others were all battling for the final spot. A few drivers began to jump into the second round as a few drivers dropped out. With about a minute left, Kyle Larson was in the final transfer spot. The red and black flag waved and Larson remained the final driver to move on. Brian Vickers remained the fastest after the round with a very quick time. Jimmie Johnson, Jeff Gordon, Tony Stewart, Kevin Harvick, Danica Patrick, Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Kyle Busch, and others moved on while Kasey Kahne, Matt Kenseth, and others barely missed the second round. The rather slow twenty five minute first round would move into a rather quick ten minute second round.
Joey Logano was the first driver on track to start the ten minute second round. He ran a good lap and he looked to be in the top twelve early on in the ten minutes. Early on in the round, Brad Keselowski jumped to the top of the board with a track record speed for the session. Keselowski remained on top as the minutes began to click away. Kurt Busch eventually bested his time and he moved Keselowski to second position in the round. Minutes clicked down and with about three left, the battle for the twelfth and final transfer spot began to heat up. Austin Dillon, Jimmie Johnson, Greg Biffle, Kyle Larson, Ryan Newman, and others were battling for the spot. The final few minutes began to click away on the round and drivers were still heading on track. The red and black flag waved and Austin Dillon remained in the twelfth and final transfer spot and he was able to move on in the session. Kurt Busch remained the fastest going towards the third round. Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Brian Vickers, Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, Tony Stewart, Jeff Gordon, Joey Logano, Carl Edwards, and Dale Earnhardt Jr. also moved on while Jimmie Johnson, Greg Biffle, Kyle Larson, and others missed the final round. A quick five minute final round would decide the polesitter at Pocono for the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series.
Joey Logano was the first driver on track for the five minute third round. Logano ran a good lap to start the round, but it seemed like the battle for the pole would happen without him. Early on, Kevin Harvick jumped to the top of the board over the few drivers who had went out. The minutes clicked by fast through the final round and soon, only a minute and a half remained with Harvick still the man to beat. With a minute left, though, that changed. Brad Keselowski jumped to the top of the board with ease and looked to be the guy on pole with a minute left, but that changed in a matter of seconds. Denny Hamlin quickly passed the line within seconds of Keselowski and he took the provisional pole with ease. Hamlin was at the top, but he still had to outlast a few drivers. Kurt Busch looked fast on his lap, but he fell two one thousandths of a second short of taking the provisional pole. The red and black flag waved and a few drivers were still on fast laps. Carl Edwards crossed the line and he finished his run without taking the pole. This left Denny Hamlin on top and with his second pole of the season in the Cup Series. It was Hamlin's nineteenth career pole in NASCAR and the pole will continue to help him as he looks to return to prominence in NASCAR's highest series.
Denny Hamlin's last year and a half in NASCAR's highest series has been quite a struggle. Hamlin broke a bone in his back at Auto Club last year and it took him some time to recover. After returning from the injury, he struggled at almost every track. He won at Homestead to end 2013, but he needed something else to boost his career again after his struggles. He really gained that boost in Daytona this year. He won the Sprint Unlimited and his Duel race along with coming home second in the 500. It looked like he was back, but he was hit with another road block. At Auto Club, he suffered an eye injury and was forced to miss the event. This left Hamlin again searching for answers to his recent problems. He found those answers at Talladega almost a month later. He went out in the race and he was able to take the win and, practically, guarantee himself a Chase spot for this year. Flash forward to qualifying at Pocono on Friday. Hamlin went out and took the pole at a track where he has won four previous times. Hamlin will be good on Sunday and he will definitely be a factor to take his second win of the season and punch his ticket for the Chase. Kurt Busch ran fast for the entire session and he took a second place starting spot behind Hamlin. Brad Keselowski continued his success in knockout qualifying with a third place starting spot. Kevin Harvick continued to run fast for his new team with a fourth place qualifying run. Jeff Gordon has been fast recently and he continued using that speed with a fifth place starting spot. One key thing to watch on Sunday is some heavy favorites in the race at the back of the field on the start. Jimmie Johnson, Kasey Kahne, and Matt Kenseth all start outside the top twenty and have to make their way to the front. It will be a good show tomorrow and contenders will have to battle for the win through four hundred miles of triangular racing. Will Jimmie Johnson repeat in the summer at Pocono, will Kasey Kahne go back-to-back at Pocono, or will another driver head to victory lane at “The Tricky Triangle”? We will have to wait only one night before we find out these answers and a whole lot more.
(More Stats Down Below!)
Top 5 Qualifiers (With Times):
1st: Denny Hamlin 49.610 (181.415 mph)
2nd: Kurt Busch 49.612 (181.408 mph)
3rd: Brad Keselowski 49.637 (181.316 mph)
4th: Kevin Harvick 49.770 (180.832 mph)
5th: Jeff Gordon 49.858 (180.513 mph)
Notables Not in Top 5 (With Times):
6th: Kyle Busch 49.873 (180.458 mph)
7th: Joey Logano 50.048 (179.827 mph)
8th: Dale Earnhardt Jr. 50.121 (179.565 mph)
12th: Tony Stewart 50.244 (179.126 mph)
16th: Danica Patrick 50.265 (179.051 mph)
20th: Jimmie Johnson 50.370 (178.678 mph)
26th: Matt Kenseth 50.571 (177.968 mph)
27th: Kasey Kahne 50.588 (177.908 mph)
DNQs: None
Credits:
-My Own Notes
-Statistics:
http://www.nascar.com/en_us/sprint-cup-series/leaderboard/leaderboard-qualification.html
http://racing-reference.info/getqualify/2014-14/W
-Image:
http://ww3.hdnux.com/photos/30/36/35/6416230/3/628x471.jpg
Sunday, June 1, 2014
My Thoughts: 2014 Dover
Whenever a track has a nickname with the word 'monster' in it, every driver knows the race is going to be a rough. Dover International Speedway, known as “The Monster Mile”, is the track I mean. Dover has ate up and spit out all kinds of drivers throughout the years. In 2009, Joey Logano went barrel rolling down the turn 3 embankment. After a innumerable amount of rolls, Logano landed on his wheels and the track had claimed another victim. There is a flip side of the coin, though. Logano has come back from that incident in 2009 to win four straight NASCAR Nationwide Series races in 2012 and 2013. The streak ended yesterday at four, but Logano held his own against the track that caused him to flip. Another example was in 2011. Clint Bowyer was running in third on a second green-white-checkered attempt at the track in the NASCAR Nationwide Series when leader, Carl Edwards, clipped Joey Logano. Logano went up the track and Bowyer clipped Logano as he went by. This sent Bowyer on his side and a huge melee erupted. A possible win was taken away from Bowyer and a huge crash resulted. There is also a flip side of the coin for Bowyer. Since that crazy wreck, he has finished in the top ten in every single race at Dover since. When you hear the words “Monster Mile” from now on, remember that Dover is a different monster than any in the world. One minute it will tear you up and spit you out, but the next day will be a day where you ride hand in hand with the track. With that introduction, I have a few topics I want to discuss with you guys before the race begins this afternoon. Today's topics a discussion of the different winners this year, a discussion of Jimmie Johnson, a discussion of Tony Stewart, a discussion of the aforementioned monster, and, of course, my pick to win. Dover is one of my favorite race weekends of the year and before it begins, let us jump into these interesting topics.
1. Ten Winners in Twelve Races: Is One Win Still Enough?
This topic dates back to the start of the season and a little bit thanks to the offseason. If you recall, NASCAR overhauled the Chase system before the start of this year and moved it to sixteen drivers. The Chase will be made up of sixteen winners throughout the season and if sixteen drivers don't win, then the rest of the Chase line-up will be set based on points. If more than sixteen drivers win, then amount of wins and points position will help determine the Chase line-up. After a third of the season, we sit on the edge of more than sixteen different winners. In twelve races, ten drivers have went to victory lane with Joey Logano and Kevin Harvick being the only two drivers to repeat. Here is the golden question for the rest of the season. Will we see more than sixteen different winners in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series this year? I, honestly, think we are approaching it. Listen to these guys who haven't won yet this year. Matt Kenseth, Kasey Kahne, Tony Stewart, Ryan Newman, Brian Vickers, Greg Biffle, Clint Bowyer, and a good many others have not won yet. Listen, that is seven drivers to add to the ten already and that will mean seventeen different winners. Along with that, each of these guys have a legitimate shot to win. In fact, Stewart won at Dover last year. Kasey Kahne won at Pocono last year, where the series heads next week. Greg Biffle won at Michigan where the series heads in two weeks. Ryan Newman won at Indianapolis a year ago where the series heads in about a month. Matt Kenseth won at Kentucky and the second race at New Hampshire last year and the series heads to both of those tracks in the near future. Finally, Brian Vickers won the first race at New Hampshire last year and the series heads there soon. It seems like, to me, these guys all have a shot in the coming weeks to continue to win races at all these tracks. Plus, throw in the curveball at Daytona where a driver could sneak into the Chase. There are so many possibilities and don't be surprised if a driver needs more than one win to make it in the Chase this season.
2. Jimmie Johnson: How Many Races Can He Win This Year?
Last week at Charlotte, all the talk was about how Jimmie Johnson had not won a race through eleven to start the 2014 season. Media personnel and a good many broadcasters were wondering if Johnson would even win this year. Well, he shut them all up at Charlotte. He went out and dominated NASCAR's longest race, known as the Coca-Cola 600, and he now has a win to his credit this season. That practically puts him in the Chase and after so many concerns of him not winning, everyone is talking about him winning a whole lot more this year. I want to put my opinions into that talk in the form of this question. How many races will Johnson win this year? I only think Johnson will have the opportunity to win three races this year when all is said and done. I know that sounds outlandish because the last time Johnson won less than three races was in 2011, but hear me out. I just spoke above how we could see a crazy amount of winners this year. Well, with all those winners, it seems like three wins would be a lot and could lead to a championship. I think Johnson's other two wins will come at either one of the Pocono races and either one of the Dover races. Johnson has been the king at both of those tracks recently and I feel like he will win at least one race at both. Still, don't expect Johnson to slow down on winning. The six time Cup champion has been known to rattle off some wins during his career and he could jump into a rhythm. With all that in mind, expect Jimmie Johnson to visit victory lane a couple more times and be a contender for the championship.
3. Tony Stewart: Will He Win a Race This Season?
Today's overall theme of winning continues with this topic about Tony Stewart. Stewart's problems last year have been discussed and discussed to the point of everyone knowing what happened in the sprint car crash last year. I won't bore you guys with that, but I want to talk about something else. Stewart won at Dover on this weekend last year and he cemented that he would be a championship factor. All that changed when the wreck happened and he was out for the rest of the season. To start this year, he seemingly hasn't been the same driver thanks to that wreck. He seems to be unable to find the right set-up in his car and he has just been struggling all year. Well, here is my question for Stewart. Is he going to win a race this season in NASCAR's highest series? I, honestly, don't think he will win a race this year. The main reason is that he isn't one hundred percent yet after the broken leg he suffered last year. I read an article yesterday discussing that and it seems like Stewart still has to regain some strength. Don't get me wrong, though. Stewart can still driver the wheels off a race car. I don't doubt that, but I do doubt his health this early in the season. The one thing that might hand him a win this season is the stretch of races we are entering. The summer series of races is Tony Stewart's favorite time of year. He loves to race at tracks like Pocono, New Hampshire, Sonoma, Daytona, Indianapolis, and a good many others. I think he could very well steal a win at one of those tracks, but I don't believe he will have the fastest car in those races. Hopefully, I'm wrong about Stewart not winning this year and he can take his car to victory lane and to a Chase berth come Chase time.
4. Dover: Is It the Hardest NASCAR Circuit Today?
I have heard this theme for the entire weekend it seems like at Dover. Rick Allen, Phil Parsons, and Michael Waltrip mentioned several times during the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race that Dover is a tough track to grab a hold on. Dave Burns, Dale Jarrett, and Andy Petree mentioned several times during NASCAR Nationwide Series qualifying and the race that Dover is a very loose race track and one lone spot of sun on track will change how the car runs. The same has been said throughout Cup practice and qualifying as well. Well, here is my question. Is Dover the hardest NASCAR circuit today? After watching all kinds of Dover racing this weekend, it is near the top of my list. I still consider Darlington to be the hardest. Every single driver puts it in the wall at Darlington at least once during the race. Now, don't get me wrong again. Dover is a really hard track because some of the best in the sport have had trouble there. I mentioned in the introduction that drivers like Clint Bowyer, Joey Logano, Tony Stewart, and other great drivers have had problems there in just the recent few years. It is a very tough track and it is deserving of the nickname “The Monster Mile”. I think today the Cup guys are going to have their hands full. The track is going to be a tough one today because I have looked at the weather and the sun is going to be shining all afternoon in Dover. That means the track is going to be very loose and the drivers are going to be complaining all afternoon. It seems like we are going to see a good race today and I am excited for another Dover shootout.
5. My Pick to Win
Along the same lines as Dover being a difficult track on the NASCAR circuit, a winner is tough to come by in some cases. Look at both races last year. In the spring, Jimmie Johnson was going to be the winner for sure on the final restart, but he jumped out ahead of Juan Pablo Montoya and he received a penalty that took him out of contention for the win. Montoya then moved into position to win the race, but Tony Stewart flew past him in the final laps to take the win. In the fall, Jimmie Johnson was out front in the last thirty laps, but he wasn't the guy with the best tires. Dale Earnhardt Jr. had the best tires of the front runners and he was close to passing Johnson one time, but Johnson was able to run away and take the win he had lost just a few months before. I feel today's race will be the same way. There will be a guy who is most likely going to win the race, but something happens and the driver with the best opportunity will take the win. Still, though, there are some guys I am going to look at as possible winners. Jimmie Johnson, Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Kasey Kahne, Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, and Tony Stewart are good picks to win today's race at Dover. Also, look at Ryan Newman and A.J. Allmendinger as a couple of underdog drivers who could steal the win this afternoon. I am pretty excited for this race today and, unfortunately, I won't be able to write about. I will be watching it, though, to see what happens when NASCAR's best take on “The Monster Mile”. Well, that is all for me today and until we meet again.
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1. Ten Winners in Twelve Races: Is One Win Still Enough?
This topic dates back to the start of the season and a little bit thanks to the offseason. If you recall, NASCAR overhauled the Chase system before the start of this year and moved it to sixteen drivers. The Chase will be made up of sixteen winners throughout the season and if sixteen drivers don't win, then the rest of the Chase line-up will be set based on points. If more than sixteen drivers win, then amount of wins and points position will help determine the Chase line-up. After a third of the season, we sit on the edge of more than sixteen different winners. In twelve races, ten drivers have went to victory lane with Joey Logano and Kevin Harvick being the only two drivers to repeat. Here is the golden question for the rest of the season. Will we see more than sixteen different winners in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series this year? I, honestly, think we are approaching it. Listen to these guys who haven't won yet this year. Matt Kenseth, Kasey Kahne, Tony Stewart, Ryan Newman, Brian Vickers, Greg Biffle, Clint Bowyer, and a good many others have not won yet. Listen, that is seven drivers to add to the ten already and that will mean seventeen different winners. Along with that, each of these guys have a legitimate shot to win. In fact, Stewart won at Dover last year. Kasey Kahne won at Pocono last year, where the series heads next week. Greg Biffle won at Michigan where the series heads in two weeks. Ryan Newman won at Indianapolis a year ago where the series heads in about a month. Matt Kenseth won at Kentucky and the second race at New Hampshire last year and the series heads to both of those tracks in the near future. Finally, Brian Vickers won the first race at New Hampshire last year and the series heads there soon. It seems like, to me, these guys all have a shot in the coming weeks to continue to win races at all these tracks. Plus, throw in the curveball at Daytona where a driver could sneak into the Chase. There are so many possibilities and don't be surprised if a driver needs more than one win to make it in the Chase this season.
2. Jimmie Johnson: How Many Races Can He Win This Year?
Last week at Charlotte, all the talk was about how Jimmie Johnson had not won a race through eleven to start the 2014 season. Media personnel and a good many broadcasters were wondering if Johnson would even win this year. Well, he shut them all up at Charlotte. He went out and dominated NASCAR's longest race, known as the Coca-Cola 600, and he now has a win to his credit this season. That practically puts him in the Chase and after so many concerns of him not winning, everyone is talking about him winning a whole lot more this year. I want to put my opinions into that talk in the form of this question. How many races will Johnson win this year? I only think Johnson will have the opportunity to win three races this year when all is said and done. I know that sounds outlandish because the last time Johnson won less than three races was in 2011, but hear me out. I just spoke above how we could see a crazy amount of winners this year. Well, with all those winners, it seems like three wins would be a lot and could lead to a championship. I think Johnson's other two wins will come at either one of the Pocono races and either one of the Dover races. Johnson has been the king at both of those tracks recently and I feel like he will win at least one race at both. Still, don't expect Johnson to slow down on winning. The six time Cup champion has been known to rattle off some wins during his career and he could jump into a rhythm. With all that in mind, expect Jimmie Johnson to visit victory lane a couple more times and be a contender for the championship.
3. Tony Stewart: Will He Win a Race This Season?
Today's overall theme of winning continues with this topic about Tony Stewart. Stewart's problems last year have been discussed and discussed to the point of everyone knowing what happened in the sprint car crash last year. I won't bore you guys with that, but I want to talk about something else. Stewart won at Dover on this weekend last year and he cemented that he would be a championship factor. All that changed when the wreck happened and he was out for the rest of the season. To start this year, he seemingly hasn't been the same driver thanks to that wreck. He seems to be unable to find the right set-up in his car and he has just been struggling all year. Well, here is my question for Stewart. Is he going to win a race this season in NASCAR's highest series? I, honestly, don't think he will win a race this year. The main reason is that he isn't one hundred percent yet after the broken leg he suffered last year. I read an article yesterday discussing that and it seems like Stewart still has to regain some strength. Don't get me wrong, though. Stewart can still driver the wheels off a race car. I don't doubt that, but I do doubt his health this early in the season. The one thing that might hand him a win this season is the stretch of races we are entering. The summer series of races is Tony Stewart's favorite time of year. He loves to race at tracks like Pocono, New Hampshire, Sonoma, Daytona, Indianapolis, and a good many others. I think he could very well steal a win at one of those tracks, but I don't believe he will have the fastest car in those races. Hopefully, I'm wrong about Stewart not winning this year and he can take his car to victory lane and to a Chase berth come Chase time.
4. Dover: Is It the Hardest NASCAR Circuit Today?
I have heard this theme for the entire weekend it seems like at Dover. Rick Allen, Phil Parsons, and Michael Waltrip mentioned several times during the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race that Dover is a tough track to grab a hold on. Dave Burns, Dale Jarrett, and Andy Petree mentioned several times during NASCAR Nationwide Series qualifying and the race that Dover is a very loose race track and one lone spot of sun on track will change how the car runs. The same has been said throughout Cup practice and qualifying as well. Well, here is my question. Is Dover the hardest NASCAR circuit today? After watching all kinds of Dover racing this weekend, it is near the top of my list. I still consider Darlington to be the hardest. Every single driver puts it in the wall at Darlington at least once during the race. Now, don't get me wrong again. Dover is a really hard track because some of the best in the sport have had trouble there. I mentioned in the introduction that drivers like Clint Bowyer, Joey Logano, Tony Stewart, and other great drivers have had problems there in just the recent few years. It is a very tough track and it is deserving of the nickname “The Monster Mile”. I think today the Cup guys are going to have their hands full. The track is going to be a tough one today because I have looked at the weather and the sun is going to be shining all afternoon in Dover. That means the track is going to be very loose and the drivers are going to be complaining all afternoon. It seems like we are going to see a good race today and I am excited for another Dover shootout.
5. My Pick to Win
Along the same lines as Dover being a difficult track on the NASCAR circuit, a winner is tough to come by in some cases. Look at both races last year. In the spring, Jimmie Johnson was going to be the winner for sure on the final restart, but he jumped out ahead of Juan Pablo Montoya and he received a penalty that took him out of contention for the win. Montoya then moved into position to win the race, but Tony Stewart flew past him in the final laps to take the win. In the fall, Jimmie Johnson was out front in the last thirty laps, but he wasn't the guy with the best tires. Dale Earnhardt Jr. had the best tires of the front runners and he was close to passing Johnson one time, but Johnson was able to run away and take the win he had lost just a few months before. I feel today's race will be the same way. There will be a guy who is most likely going to win the race, but something happens and the driver with the best opportunity will take the win. Still, though, there are some guys I am going to look at as possible winners. Jimmie Johnson, Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Dale Earnhardt Jr., Kasey Kahne, Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski, Denny Hamlin, and Tony Stewart are good picks to win today's race at Dover. Also, look at Ryan Newman and A.J. Allmendinger as a couple of underdog drivers who could steal the win this afternoon. I am pretty excited for this race today and, unfortunately, I won't be able to write about. I will be watching it, though, to see what happens when NASCAR's best take on “The Monster Mile”. Well, that is all for me today and until we meet again.
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